Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 7.110533 7.875499 8.728367 9.757743 10.977384 12.390353 14.172048
2025-01-12 5.727145 6.682337 7.836374 9.361983 11.371668 13.999595 17.826333
2025-01-19 4.977205 5.997498 7.294517 9.115969 11.700367 15.399695 21.451990
2025-01-26 4.531298 5.599450 7.013316 9.099990 12.255108 17.154782 26.124754
2025-02-02 4.402737 5.584918 7.217919 9.762050 13.896461 20.973333 35.950581
2025-02-09 4.221852 5.468610 7.251371 10.157203 15.184478 24.592801 47.605576
2025-02-16 3.978203 5.233324 7.075051 10.182784 15.832585 27.218778 58.943615
2025-02-23 3.831693 5.122136 7.067716 10.474748 17.016994 31.379888 78.529621
2025-03-02 3.562803 4.804110 6.703401 10.098355 16.822907 32.350504 88.945846
2025-03-09 3.352935 4.560010 6.434210 9.854289 16.847669 33.880608 103.732014
2025-03-16 3.192588 4.380580 6.253514 9.746552 17.137471 36.235512 126.414350
2025-03-23 3.107591 4.312279 6.249012 9.964775 18.192553 41.267262 176.555673
2025-03-30 2.909890 4.065380 5.945106 9.614645 17.974657 42.703746 212.350075
2025-04-06 2.721074 3.824354 5.638025 9.233991 17.640888 43.779677 254.433032
2025-04-13 2.573239 3.640221 5.414452 8.993167 17.606398 45.979928 327.409031
2025-04-20 2.473338 3.527971 5.307532 8.977516 18.154882 50.875917 503.021265
2025-04-27 2.473774 3.581594 5.501292 9.626216 20.723466 67.243655 1761.976110
2025-05-04 2.436711 3.568407 5.570188 10.013185 22.704490 84.206016 13506.964180
2025-05-11 2.358649 3.479095 5.487073 10.038231 23.567532 96.286011 NaN
2025-05-18 2.315422 3.447706 5.512134 10.324045 25.432937 120.057574 NaN
2025-05-25 2.205540 3.292174 5.282322 9.955566 24.847317 122.274281 NaN
2025-06-01 2.116571 3.170008 5.111308 9.716558 24.696159 129.029666 NaN
2025-06-08 2.047098 3.079598 4.997939 9.611035 25.038776 142.425487 NaN